Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

On the integrated assessment of the technogenic risk of accidents on the territory of a city

Anatoliy Valerevich Rybakov, PhD, Marina Valentinovna Lebedeva, PhD, Viktor Ivanovich Shmyrev, PhD, Evgeny Vyacheslavovich Ivanov, MS

Abstract


A new approach is proposed for assessing the integrated indicator of the technogenic risk of accidents on the city territory. The indicator is determined by the values of the individual indicators: potential danger, security, and vulnerability of the territory. This approach allows us to assess the technogenic risk qualitatively and quantitatively and to take into account the complex of important factors affecting the safety of the city territory.


Keywords


integral index, technogenic risk, vulnerability, protection, danger, linguistic variable, fuzzy sets

Full Text:

PDF

References


Index for Risk Management: Results 2015 - INFORM. 2015. Available at www.inform-index.org. Accessed December 15, 2017.

Technogenic Risk: Student online library 2013. Available at http://studbooks.net/70730/bzhd/tehnogennyy_risk. Accessed March 13, 2013.

Korolev VY, Arefieva EV, Rybakov AV: Forecasting the risks of man-made emergencies based on the assessment of the likelihood of damage as a result of emergencies, considered as a heterogeneous flow of extreme events. Scientific and Educational Problems of Civil Protection. No. 2. Khimki: Academy of Civil Protection of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia, 2016: 35-44.

Arefeva EV, Rybakov AV, Arifjanov SB: Estimation of Technogenic Risk on the Basis of an Integrated Index. (Scientific and Technical Journal No. 1 (135), Science news of Kazakhstan). Almaty, Kazakhstan: National Center for State Scientific and Technical Expertise, 2018: 30-43.

GOST R 42.2.01-2014 Civil defense: Assessment of the state of potentially dangerous objects, objects of defense and safety in the conditions of impact of the damaging factors of conventional means of destruction. Methods of calculation. Available at http://docs.cntd.ru/document/1200112653. Accessed November 29, 2017.

Rybakov AV: Technogenic safety of the territory adjacent to the objects of storage and transportation of petroleum products. Protection of the Environment in the Oil and Gas Complex, No. 7. Moscow: ALL-Russian Scientific Research Institute of Organization, Management and Economics of the Oil and Gas Industry, 2016: 35-38.

Mukhin VI, Rybakov AV, Ivanov EV, et al.: About a technique of an estimation of a condition of potentially dangerous objects at influence by an air shock wave from usual means of defeat. Scientific and Educational Problems of a Civil Protection, No. 1. Khimki: Academy of Civil Protection of the Ministry of Emergency Situations of Russia, 2017: 7-15.

EMAP: Emergency management standard. 2016: 5. Available at https://emap.org/index.php/what-is-emap/the-emergency-management-standard. Accessed December 1, 2019.

National Fire Protection Association: NFPA 1600. Quincy, MA: National Fire Protection Association, 2013: 6-7. Available at https://www.nfpa.org/assets/files/aboutthecodes/1600/1600-13-pdf. pdf. Accessed December 1, 2019.




DOI: https://doi.org/10.5055/jem.2020.0454

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Copyright (c) 2020 Journal of Emergency Management